9 Aug · 18:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1431
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cousin
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1458
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H29-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.