9 Aug · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1562
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ruzicka
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1561
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Ruzicka stays under total as favourite 62% (32)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.