9 Aug · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1509
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kanak
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1473
FormLWLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Reska🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 11% (19)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.