9 Aug · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1562
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fnukal
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1541
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Fnukal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H12-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.