9 Aug · 19:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1695
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jicha
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1691
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorisek🌟Jicha stays under total as favourite 63% (41)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H146-110
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.