9 Aug · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1509
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kanak
KZ
🇨🇿Karel Zeman
ELO 1489
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeman🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 11% (19)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.