9 Aug · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1393
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1519
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 66% (80)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H11-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)