9 Aug · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1496
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rek
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 62% (90)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~70 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)