9 Aug · 20:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1527
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vosyka
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1555
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.