9 Aug · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FT
🇨🇿Filip Theodor
ELO 1400
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Reska
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1473
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Theodor🌟Theodor goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)