09 Aug · 17:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1485
0-3Final setsLovl won
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1541
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 52%. The actual result was Jan Lovl 0-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Lovl favoured — closing 1.32
Total 73.5
53 points played
Set handicap
Jan Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Lovl −6.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.6
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milan Flesar is favoured to win, below means Jan Lovl.
▲ Milan Flesarpre 44% → final 77%
Jan Lovl ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsFlesar recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games