10 Aug · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1572
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pawlik
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1561
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.