10 Aug · 13:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1572
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrowetz
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1549
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 62% (56)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H9-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.