10 Aug · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1535
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1512
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulc🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (59)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H16-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.