10 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1587
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vonasek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1506
FormWLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H47-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)