10 Aug · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1549
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Benes
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1517
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H20-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.