10 Aug · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1592
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1528
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Przybyla covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)