10 Aug · 14:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1552
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pokorny
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1547
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H20-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.