10 Aug · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1454
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lorenc
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1384
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Lorenc
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)