10 Aug · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1688
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kocab
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1591
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)