10 Aug · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1549
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1526
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fojtik🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (47)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.