10 Aug · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1517
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1561
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.