10 Aug · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1531
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1528
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Przybyla🌟Przybyla covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.