10 Aug · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1524
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1535
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (59)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H19-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.