10 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1506
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1621
FormLWLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H76-59
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-59)