10 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1483
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gola
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1558
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H87-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (87-52)