10 Aug · 14:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1483
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1636
FormLWLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+153
H2H90-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (90-45)