10 Aug · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1472
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gola
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1555
FormWLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H120-75
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (120-75)