10 Aug · 17:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1764
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Vesecky
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1646
FormWWLLW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prochazka🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 77% (39)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)