10 Aug · 22:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1500
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H39-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.