10 Aug · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1411
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H20-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-17)