10 Aug · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1522
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Konvicka
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1517
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Baros🌟Baros covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Konvicka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H12-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.