10 Aug · 23:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1466
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Muller
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1539
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Budik🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 80% (76)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H46-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-42)