10 Aug · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1678
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bartik
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1607
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Bartik goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H14-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)