10 Aug · 21:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1570
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vicherek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1608
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowal🌟Kowal covers set handicap as underdog 63% (49)
Fair odds · Vicherek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H16-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.