10 Aug · 22:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1539
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Muller
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1481
FormWWWWW
55%
45%
🌟Muller rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (38)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)