10 Aug · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1480
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kabelka
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1401
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H17-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)