10 Aug · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1480
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kabelka
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1376
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)