10 Aug · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1442
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Matousch
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1373
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 67% (84)
Fair odds · Matousch
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)