10 Aug · 20:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1359
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolik🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (115)
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H29-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-16)