11 Aug · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1506
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1419
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)