11 Aug · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1501
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (96)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H25-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-22)