11 Aug · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1635
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvrna
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (110)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H54-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-34)