11 Aug · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1559
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sindler
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1461
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sturma🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 75% (57)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H45-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-44)