11 Aug · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1488
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (96)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)