11 Aug · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Langer
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1416
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (88)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.