11 Aug · 14:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1456
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1603
FormWLWLL
38%
62%
🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (114)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+147
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)