11 Aug · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1527
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sulc
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1416
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)