11 Aug · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1488
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cizek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1548
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)