11 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1558
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (62)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H52-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)